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How replacing Biden as the Democratic nominee would actually work – Queen City News

Replacing Biden with the Democratic candidate would be extremely complicated and probably impossible unless the president voluntarily and on his own initiative decided to withdraw.

Politically and mechanically, it is almost impossible to believe that the Democrats would or could prevent Biden’s nomination by force.


Currently, Biden is the only candidate for whom attendees of the Democratic Party Convention can vote.

He received 99 percent of his party’s delegate votes in the primaries, and Democratic delegates have promised to support whoever wins in their state in the first round.

Under Democratic National Committee (DNC) rules, delegates won by Biden must pledge their support for his nomination unless Biden voluntarily decides to step down and release his delegate count to another candidate.

Before the convention opens on August 19, the DNC could change the rules to block Biden, but that would require a level of political support almost unimaginable. A fight between pro- and anti-Biden factions at a convention to force him out of office is highly unlikely.

But it’s conceivable that party leaders, including former Presidents Obama and Clinton, could be persuaded to talk to Biden about an exit, Democratic sources told The Hill. Biden ultimately places the most value on the advice of first lady Jill Biden and his sister Valerie, two people widely seen as the only voices that could truly change his mind.

An emergency situation in 2024 could give party leaders even less time to choose their nominee than they would normally have. Ohio law requires ballots to be certified 90 days before the election. This year, that’s August 7, nearly two weeks before the convention begins.

Although Ohio state lawmakers attempted to pass legislation to address the issue, they were unable to reach agreement, prompting DNC leaders to virtually nominate Biden before the deadline and the convention. If they want to pull this off, any change in candidate would have to happen before the Ohio deadline if the candidate is to be on the state’s ballot, regardless of any tampering by Ohio lawmakers.

On Friday, party leaders rallied around Biden, showing no signs of secretly pushing him to drop out.

His campaign, the White House and his surrogates have vigorously pushed back against the idea, but others said if polls showed his performance hurting lower-tier candidates, it could become a real issue.

Who could replace him?

Biden’s natural successor would be Vice President Harris.

However, she would not be the automatic successor if Biden were to step down.

Although Biden won the primaries, he cannot transfer the support he won there to Harris.

Instead, Harris would compete at the convention or earlier with other potential candidates who may see themselves as stronger candidates than the vice president against the likely Republican nominee, former President Trump.

According to its charter, the DNC has general responsibility for the affairs of the party between national conventions, and these responsibilities include filling vacancies in the nominations for president and vice president.

If Biden were to leave office, a position would become vacant.

And Harris would be the logical successor.

Politically, some said it’s hard to imagine anyone replacing Harris at this point if Biden wanted her on the ballot as his successor. But there are almost certainly potential politicians like California Governor Gavin Newsom or Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer who could try.

“That’s the bigger problem with replacing Biden. I don’t think the Democratic coalition will survive unless Harris is at the top of the ballot, and it’s hard to guarantee that would be the party consensus if they replaced Biden,” said a former DNC official.

If there were multiple Democratic candidates vying to succeed the retiring Biden as the party’s nominee, these potential candidates would likely have to compete with state delegations for their place at the party’s convention in Chicago in August.

This would lead to a scenario that US politics has not seen for decades: a party convention with disputed candidate votes.

Conservative groups have indicated that if such a case were to occur, they would file lawsuits across the country, potentially challenging the legality of including the Democratic candidate’s name on the ballot.

But in an interview with the Associated Press, Elaine Kamarck, a governance studies scholar at the Brookings Institution in Washington, pointed out that the courts have always stayed out of primaries as long as the parties running them do not do anything that violates other constitutional rights, such as suppressing voters on the basis of race.

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